Release Date: November 9, 2018
BUFFALO, N.Y. – To include a citizenship question as part of the 2020 decennial census would most likely undercut the accuracy of determining the U.S. population and risks politicizing and limiting the effectiveness of an instrument critical to a well-functioning representative democracy, according to a University at Buffalo sociologist.
“Any social scientist who wants to collect quality data knows that to add this question – regardless of how the data will be used – is to contribute inaccuracy into the U.S. Census Bureau’s measurement of the country’s population in 2020,” says Robert Adelman, an associate professor and chair of UB’s Department of Sociology who has written an article on census data for the latest issue of the journal City & Community.
A downloadable document of proposed questions for the 2020 census on the Census Bureau’s website states:
“But the decennial census is not -- and was never intended to be -- a citizen count. It was intended to be an accurate count of the U.S. population, and adding a citizenship question to the census would likely discourage participation from documented and undocumented migrants who might not respond to the census form,” says Adelman, an urban sociologist and an expert on the patterns, trends, and processes related to immigration.
“In addition, the question may be politically motivated. Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross has now admitted to discussing the questions with Stephen Bannon, a former White House strategist.”
Measuring the country’s population was so critical to the formation of the republic that the founders wrote the census requirement, necessary for determining Congressional representation, into Article I Section 2 of the Constitution, placing the provision ahead of details on the composition of the Senate or mention of the office of the President.
For Adelman, the matter of collecting data through the census has become a matter that’s as much about politics as it is social science.
“The citizenship question is especially problematic for me because it’s being proposed by an anti-immigrant administration and my recent work with colleagues on the relationship between immigration and crime across metropolitan areas underscores the political nature of such issues,” says Adelman.
Lawsuits, meantime, have been filed around the country with the first trial on the citizenship question currently underway in New York City.
“We already ask about citizenship on the American Community Survey so the question is unnecessary as part of the census,” says Adelman. “Including it will likely discourage participation and create a ripple effect of problems that will contribute to less accurate counts of the population.”