My one contribution to the autopsies of the 2016 presidential election

Published May 1, 2017

A column in The Washington Post about the 2016 election and who is to blame for the outcome suggests that forecasting models had the race as pretty close to a toss-up, and cites a paper by James E. Campbell, UB Distinguished Professor of Political Science, published in the journal PS: Political Science & Politics. “So, how did these forecasts do? With a few exceptions, the accuracy of the presidential vote forecasts ranged from impressive to extraordinary,” he wrote.

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