Election forecasters try to bring some order to a chaotic political year

Published September 3, 2016

An article in The Washington Post on predictions by election forecasters about who will be elected president interviews James Campbell, UB Distinguished Professor of Political Science and the author of the new book “Polarized: Making Sense of a Divided America.” “The early signs and readings of the context in which the campaigns will be run would suggest that 2016 was shaping up with a tilt to the Republicans until they nominated the bombastic Donald Trump,” he said. “It was not a ‘sure thing’ for the Republicans before their nomination and it … does not appear to be a ‘sure thing’ for the Democrats after the Republicans’ astonishing nomination.” Articles also appeared in news outlets that include the Buffalo News, MSN and The Fiscal Times.

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