Bloomberg News Service: Forecasting models show Bush defeating Kerry in election, UB political scientist says

By Arthur Page

Release Date: August 31, 2004 This content is archived.

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An article published on Aug. 31 by Bloomberg News Service reports that eight forecasting models are unanimous in predicting President George W. Bush will defeat Democrat John Kerry in the presidential election, and quotes Jim Campbell, professor of political science, who says the hunt for Osama bin Laden and discontent over the war in Iraq are among the wild cards that may muddle the modeling. Go to article.