BUFFALO, N.Y. -- James E. Campbell is a widely published
political scientist at the University at Buffalo who specializes in
American electoral politics and forecasting. He is an excellent
post-election source on issues related to the new working
relationship ahead between the White House and Congressional
On the prospects for bipartisanship and compromise between the
While House and the new GOP-controlled Congress, Campbell says:
"They are going to have to work together on the issue of tax cuts,"
because there's some pretty substantial pressure on both sides to
reach an agreement on this--and I do expect to see some compromise
on the part of Democrats and Republicans alike."
In other areas, Campbell says he's not so sure cooperation will
be possible. "Once you go beyond tax cuts, you get into some heavy
lifting when it comes to compromise." The reason? "It's all about
the current polarization of the parties," he explains. "When you
have a very vocal left and right in the political parties, and a
diminished center, as you have now, it becomes very difficult to
bring the two sides together to agree on much."
On the post-election future of the Tea Party movement as a
"I definitely see the movement as being here to stay as part of
the political scene for the foreseeable future," he says. "They
bring an upside to the table for the Republicans, chiefly their
enthusiasm," he says, "but the downside is that they are more
ideologically committed to their policies than to winning
He says he sees many mainstream conservative Republicans making
tough choices about reaching out to Tea Party groups in the months
ahead. "Those who do choose to work with them will try to convince
them that, in a nation that requires more flexibility and
compromise, getting 70 percent of what you want is actually a
win…but I don't think the Tea Party will buy that, and I do
expect to see them actively keeping the heat on until the next
More information on Jim Campbell's teaching and writing on
politics can be found here:
http://www.polsci.buffalo.edu/faculty_staff/campbell. He can be
reached on campus at the University at Buffalo at 716-645-8452 or
firstname.lastname@example.org or by calling Patricia Donovan on campus at
716-645-4602 or email@example.com.
Need additional expert sources? Go to the University at
Buffalo's "experts blog" at http://newstips.buffalo.edu.
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