Political Scientists Available for Super Tuesday Races, Results and Reactions

Release Date: March 5, 2012

BUFFALO, N.Y. -- Two University at Buffalo political science professors are available as expert sources for analysis of Super Tuesday Republican presidential primaries and the candidates still in the race.

-- Joshua J. Dyck, PhD

Associate Professor of Political Science, University at Buffalo

716-645-8435; jdyck@buffalo.edu

-- James E. Campbell, PhD

SUNY Distinguished Professor of Political Science, University at Buffalo

716-645-8452; jcampbel@buffalo.edu

Video interviews with Campbell and Dyck (pronounced "Dick") are available below and on the university's FTP site upon request.



"At this point, the odds of a Romney nomination may be better than two to one, but this election is far from over," Dyck says. "Ron Paul could run a very important and damaging third-party candidacy if he wanted to. His supporters are true believers and are more amped up than any of the other candidates' supporters."

"Despite the protracted and bitter Republican nomination contest, the 2012 election at this time seems to slightly favor the Republicans," Campbell says. "Head-to-head hypothetical preference polls pitting President Obama against each of the possible Republicans are meaningless. My published historical analysis of preference polls, even in June of the election year, indicates that they are unrelated to the actual election outcome."

James E. Campbell is a nationally recognized expert on campaigns and elections, voting behavior, American political parties, American macro-politics, election forecasting, public opinion, political participation, presidential politics, presidential/congressional relations and electoral systems. He is the author of four books, more than 60 book chapters and scores of journal articles on these subjects. He is frequently quoted by major national publications on election issues and is known for robust research findings "you can hang your hat on." Website: http://www.acsu.buffalo.edu/~jcampbel.

Joshua J. Dyck is an election commentator who studies American politics with a focus on public opinion, political geography, direct democracy, voting behavior and state politics. His work has appeared in many leading scholarly journals including the Journal of Politics, Public Opinion Quarterly, Political Research Quarterly, Social Science Quarterly, Electoral Studies, and American Politics Research. He is also is the co-editor of The Guide to State Politics and Policy with Richard Niemi of the University of Rochester, currently under contract with CQ Press. Website: http://www.acsu.buffalo.edu/~jdyck.

The University at Buffalo is a premier research-intensive public university, a flagship institution in the State University of New York system and its largest and most comprehensive campus. UB's more than 28,000 students pursue their academic interests through more than 300 undergraduate, graduate and professional degree programs. Founded in 1846, the University at Buffalo is a member of the Association of American Universities.

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