BUFFALLO, N.Y. -- University at Buffalo political scientist
James Campbell, a veteran political forecaster, says "The
frustration of conservatives and the power of the Tea Party
movement was demonstrated once again in the victory of Carl
Paladino over the GOP's establishment-backed candidate Rick
Campbell is available today at 1 p.m. for a press briefing in
his office and for phone interviews. Please call Patricia Donovan
at 716-645-4602 to arrange an interview.
Campbell points out that pollsters have consistently
underestimated the enthusiasm and turnout rates of Tea Party
supporters and other conservatives this year.
"The Paladino-Lazio race was interesting because of the victory
of the outsider Paladino in an unanticipated landslide, although
the last pre-election polls had the race as a toss-up," says
Campbell, professor and chair of UB's Department of Political
Campbell says Paladino faces another uphill battle against his
Democratic rival Andrew Cuomo because of the large registration
advantage for Democrats in New York.
"That said, the political winds of 2010 strongly favor
conservative Republicans," Campbell says, "and Paladino is nothing
if not a feisty and combative candidate. I would rate the race as
leaning to Cuomo, but certainly not one that could be taken for
granted by Democrats."
The University at Buffalo is a premier research-intensive
public university, a flagship institution in the State University
of New York system and its largest and most comprehensive campus.
UB's more than 28,000 students pursue their academic interests
through more than 300 undergraduate, graduate and professional
degree programs. Founded in 1846, the University at Buffalo is a
member of the Association of American Universities.